Now that all of the college football The Spring Games are over, it’s time for bettors to start looking at next season’s win total.
Usually, I study spring scrimmage shows, taking into account teams that have lost Studs in the NFL and considering upcoming schedules to decide if I want to spend some money on the teams.
The teams I think deserve under the bets are not specified, but I do have three teams that I expect to exceed their expected win totals.
Let’s dive into my picks.
Yes, I’m betting Georgia finishes the regular season 12-0 for the third straight season. When you combine Georgia’s talent, coaching, pedigree, and team schedule, you will see that this bet is the only way to bet on their win total.
Once again, the ‘Dawgs’ became the most talented team in the country, even with all the players they lost to the NFL Draft. On offense, they return one of the best lines and a talented player core built around the best tight end in the country, Brock Powers.
Georgia continues to reload on defense, having a roster of just two stellar players. I have no qualms about UGA performing near the top of the country again this season.
If you want a good chuckle, go to UGA’s schedule for next season and find the game in which the team will be under 10 favorites. You can not. maybe fl in their annual rivalry game with the Gators, but other than that, there is nothing.
With Georgia’s talent and schedule, they won’t lose a game in the regular season.
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Contrary to my better judgement, I’m going to take USC to win 10 games this season.
Trojans return Heisman winner Caleb Williams In the quarterback with a lot of NFL–Talent Attitude Caliber Skill. The offense will always be good under Coach Lincoln Riley. They’ve also added some talent on defense, and when I look at the schedule, I don’t see this team losing more than two games.
Look for SC to start the season 6-0. Arizona is a potential early stalemate, but the Sun Devils have a new coach and don’t have the talent to stop the Trojans attack.
But, after the first six games, USC has one of the toughest dates in the country. Trojans in Notre Dameagainst the house Utah Then away in cal. Then they will host Washingtonplays in OregonAnd finally, the face University of California in the runway. USC will beat Cal and UCLA, but the other four games are for me. The Trojans should split those four and get their record to 10-2, and hit us over.
One concern is how the USC defense wants to win — which leads to turnovers. USC was +21 in turnover margin last season. However, the turnover fluctuates from year to year. You can lead the country in one year’s turnover margin, and the next year, you’re back in the middle of the pack. In the previous five seasons (2017-2021), the leading turnover margin saw an average decrease of 15.8 in turnover margin. However, USC will hit most teams with their offense, so none of this will matter.
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Other bets over / under the total win must be taken into account *
Colorado: Wins O/U 3.5
TCU: O/U 7.5 wins
Notre Dame: Win O/U 8.5
Texas: Win O/U 9.5
LSU: Win O/U 9.5
Clemson: Win O/U 9.5
Oregon: Win O/U 9.5
Pennsylvania state: Win O/U 9.5
Ohio State: Win O/U 10.5
Alabama: Win O/U 10.5
*Odds as of 5/18/2023
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The Wolverines are back with a playoff-caliber team again with an above-average quarterback, running back and offensive lineman. This painful offense will weaken defenses, and while games will appear close early on, the Wolverines will win big late on because of those tired defenses.
Michigan’s offense is also perfect for road games, two of which are in Pennsylvania state And Michigan State, which will be difficult, but winnable. The Wolverines have defeated Ohio State two years in a row, and now they’ve got the Buckeyes in the Big House this season. Over 10.5 wins allow Michigan to lose one game in the conference and still find success.
The Wolverines defense was within the best 14 yards per game for two consecutive seasons, and while the team was suffering from a pass talent drain (NFL), UM recruited well.
Jim Harbaugh has proven he can develop talent all over the field, and I expect no less from that this season.
Jeff Schwartz played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started right tackle with the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. He is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. Follow him on Twitter at @employee.
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