“drop”. For presidents and fans of Premier League clubs, perhaps no more scary talk.
Not only does that mean you drop down a division, but you lose players, fortunes, visibility and prestige when you step out of the Premier League spotlight.
Often, the massive financial implications force radical and branch change in the club that can take years to bear fruit again. There is no doubt that it is a terrifying prospect.
The 2022/23 Premier League season is shaping up to be a cracker if six-point touchdowns and drama is your thing. There are nine teams involved in the fight and none of them will feel comfortable.
How many points do they need to stay up this season?
Obviously, there is no exact number of points required to stay up because it depends a lot on the level of the league in any given season.
One thing is for sure, though: Gone are the days of needing 40 points to survive.
There are various reasons for this, but the simplest is that the teams at the top of the table have improved and combined more points, leaving fewer points for the rest to eliminate.
In fact, in the last ten seasons, the most points any team needed to avoid relegation from the Premier League was 38 points in the 2015/16 season.
However, that was a strange thing in terms of directions. Over the last ten Premier League seasons, 36 points has been enough to keep you in the Premier League for all but two seasons. That comes in at 0.95 points per game over the entire season.
The average number of points required to avoid relegation Premier League in the same period less than that at 35 (0.92 points per game)
In the 2020/21 season, any team with 29 points has done enough to stay ahead. That certainly won’t be the case this season.
In fact, at the time of writing, the two teams currently occupying the last two survival spots in the Premier League table – West Ham and Leicester – are currently at 0.92 points per game. Maintaining that means she will end up with 35 points.
That doesn’t mean 35 points will be enough to survive this season, of course, but it does tell us that it’s going a long way for an average campaign in terms of relegation.